optimal exchange regim for iranian economy: dsge approach

نویسندگان

محمود محمودزاده

دانشیار گروه اقتصاد، واحد فیروزکوه، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، فیروزکوه، ایران. سمیه صادقی

استادیار گروه حسابداری، واحد آیت ا... آملی، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، آمل، ایران،

چکیده

we compare alternative monetary policies for iranian economy that this paper compares alternative monetary policy rules for iranian economy in faces to both internal and external shocks. for this purpose, we investigate the responses of macroeconomic variables respected to the money base and the terms of trade shocks, under three types of monetary rules including fixed exchange rate, inflation targeting and floating of nominal exchange rate at the hard peg through an intermediate exchange rate regime. the results show that the affecting of both shocks on macroeconomic variables is significantly dependent on monetary rules. accordingly, the intermediate exchange rate regime create higher volatilities in investment and production in both tradable and non tradable sectors, but the reactions of inflation and real exchange rate are convincing. by contrast, the inflation targeting rule induces to lower volatilities in investment, consumption and production, but it tends to higher volatilities of inflation and real exchange rate. overall, it seems appropriate for iranian monetary authorities to conduct this rule in the context of an intermediate exchange rate regime, as a preliminary phase before the transition to a floating regime. jel classification: f0, f4

برای دانلود باید عضویت طلایی داشته باشید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Forecasting the South African Economy: A DSGE-VAR Approach

This paper develops an estimated hybrid model that combines the micro-founded DSGE model with the flexibility of the theoretical VAR model. The model is estimated via the maximum likelihood technique based on quarterly data on real Gross National Product (GNP), consumption, investment and hours worked, for the South African economy, over the period of 1970:1 to 2000:4. Based on a recursive esti...

متن کامل

Inflation Behavior in the Iranian Economy under Macroeconomic Shocks: The DSGE Approach

Proper understanding of the concept of inflation and the factors affecting it is essential to achieving price stability. Despite the same general understanding of the concept of inflation, there is still no consensus among economists on the causes, so in recent years, many empirical studies in the country have identified and examined the factors affecting inflation. Since inflation is affected ...

متن کامل

Evaluation of Price Setting Models in Iran’s Economy (DSGE Approach)

 Despite the consensus on the importance of nominal rigidities, there is no general agreement among monetary economists regarding the most appropriate and consistent pricing model that must be used to assess the effects of monetary policies in the economy. Due to the lack of empirical evidence with relation to the pricing behavior of Iranian firms, there is no general agreement on how to introd...

متن کامل

Stock Market Bubbles and Business Cycles: A DSGE Model for the Iranian Economy

T his paper investigates the movement between stock market bubbles and fluctuations in aggregate variables within a DSGE model for the Iranian economy. We apply a new Keynesian monetary framework with nominal rigidity in wages and prices based on the study by Ikeda (2013), which is developed with appropriate framework for the Iranian economy. We consider central bank behavior differe...

متن کامل

Optimal IPO Timing in an Exchange Economy

We model the IPO decision of an entrepreneur in an exchange economy. The entrepreneur holds a Lucas Tree, and when the IPO occurs, the market converges to a Two Trees economy built on Cochrane, Longstaff, and Santa-Clara (2008). We solve the optimal timing problem and study the diversification effects over the firm’s value and entrepreneur’s consumption. The model predicts that IPOs should be c...

متن کامل

Macroprudential Policy Arrangement for Achieving Financial Stability in an Oil-exporting Economy: A DSGE approach

Following the 2008 financial crisis, the application of macro-prudential policies has expanded to ensure financial stability. In addition, in most oil-exporting economies, oil revenues are an important source of fluctuations in macroeconomic variables and, therefore, calls for the use of macroeconomic stabilization policies. Considering the vulnerability of financial stability in the Iranian ec...

متن کامل

منابع من

با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید


عنوان ژورنال:
تحقیقات اقتصادی

جلد ۵۲، شماره ۱، صفحات ۱۳۹-۱۶۲

میزبانی شده توسط پلتفرم ابری doprax.com

copyright © 2015-2023